US former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. Image: Newsweek
(The Post News)- Three weeks prior to the US Election Day, recent polls suggest that the competition between Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump is tightening. Three national polls show Trump’s gaining momentum while Harris’ success is declining. As reported, Harris is ahead by two points in the ABC News/Ipsos poll, down from a six-point lead, while the NBC News poll shows the candidates tied at 48 per cent.
At his rally, Trump strongly criticized Vice President Harris, claiming she was responsible for the increase in expenses and the surge of immigrants coming into the southern border in the past few years.
His remarks aimed at Black and Hispanic voters are happening as recent polls indicate that he is gaining support from both communities in a closely fought election.
An A survey carried out by New York Times/Siena College and released on Saturday revealed that 78% of Black voters would vote for Harris in the election, while only 15% would choose to support Trump.
The difference in support of 63 percentage points would represent a drop from the previous year, with President Biden receiving 90 percent of Black votes compared to 9 percent for Trump in 2020.
If the Electoral College map remains predictable in all states except those seven, Harris would have a 226-219 advantage with 93 electors undecided. Becoming president requires obtaining 270 votes in the Electoral College.
Recent polls indicate that the seven states are all within the margin of error, typically around 3%.
Poll aggregator reports Harris is ahead by 1 point in Nevada, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. Harris would have a lead of 276-262, but if she loses Michigan, Wisconsin, or Pennsylvania without gaining another state, Trump would become president.
The Cook Political Report shows that there are 207 seats that lean towards the Republican Party and 202 seats that lean towards the Democratic Party. A majority requires 218 seats. In order to secure victory in the House, Republicans must secure 11 out of 26 undecided seats. Democrats would have to win 16 out of 26 in order to gain control.
Out of the 26 seats that are up for grabs, 14 are currently in the hands of Republicans and 12 are held by Democrats. It is believed that Democrats have a slightly higher chance of winning two seats currently held by Republicans.
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